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LB2

Mesothelioma MESO

Of 60,498 genes, 1,378 are higher in the tumor than in normal lung and in whole blood, and are not made by blood immune cells. 629 are protein-coding, and 618 of those have supporting plasma Cell-free RNA (cfRNA)RNA fragments that circulate in blood plasma outside cells. Most come from blood cells; a small share comes from other tissues, including tumors. evidence; the rest are mostly non-coding genes the plasma sources cannot check.

Samples compared

Tumor
87
TCGA primary tumors
Normal tissue
288
288 GTEx lung
Whole blood
337
GTEx samples from 328 donors
Survival
85
patients, 73 events (Survival endpointsCurated TCGA outcomes (Liu et al. 2018): OS is overall survival, PFI the progression-free interval and DSS disease-specific survival. LB2 uses whichever has the most events in each cancer type.)

Results in brief

1,378
candidate genes: 618 with plasma cfRNA evidence, 12 protein-coding without, 748 non-coding
45
genes in the tissue panel, Held-out AUCHow well an elastic-net model separates tumor from normal tissue, measured with nested cross-validation on samples the model did not train on. It describes tissue, not the accuracy of a blood test. 0.996
40
genes associated with overall survival (FDR < 0.05, 150 tested)

Candidates

Filter by plasma evidence or discrimination, find a gene, and select any point or row for its full record. The table holds all 1,378 candidates.

Loading candidates…

How the candidates were selected

60,498 genes tested; 2,251 higher in tumor than in normal lung; 2,216 also higher than in whole blood; 1,378 remain after removing genes expressed in blood immune cells; 618 of these have plasma cfRNA evidence, 12 protein-coding candidates have none, and 748 are non-coding genes the plasma sources cannot list.

Figure 2. Genes remaining after each step in mesothelioma.

Each comparison uses a two-sided Wilcoxon rank-sum test. A gene passes when its q-value is below 0.05, its log2 fold change is at least 1, and the lower bound of the 95% confidence interval for its AUC is at least 0.70.

Genes made by any of 18 sorted blood immune cell types above 1 nTPM are then removed, because blood cells supply most plasma RNA. Genes missing from that reference, mostly non-coding, are kept.

Plasma evidence only reorders the list. A candidate not yet seen in plasma stays in, because every dataset misses genes. Read the full methods.

Tissue classifier panel

Geneweight toward tumorCoef.
  1. PRR9+0.24
  2. SPANXB1+0.24
  3. VTN+0.17
  4. GJB2+0.16
  5. ASPHD1+0.15
  6. CALB2+0.13
  7. KRT9+0.12
  8. HSD3B1+0.11
  9. FOXL2+0.10
  10. MFI2+0.09
  11. GPRIN1+0.07
  12. C1QL4+0.07
  13. SCG5+0.07
  14. SOX11+0.06
  15. PPAPDC1A+0.06
  16. NAT8L+0.06
  17. FGF5+0.05
  18. FAM101A+0.05
  19. OR51E1+0.05
  20. SLC7A4+0.04
Show the other 25 genes
  1. ASPM+0.04
  2. PITX2+0.04
  3. CPA4+0.04
  4. BNC1+0.04
  5. PNMAL1+0.04
  6. DNAJC22+0.03
  7. EEF1A2+0.03
  8. EN1+0.03
  9. APCDD1L+0.03
  10. TFAP2A+0.03
  11. DIRAS1+0.02
  12. PPP2R2C+0.02
  13. CRB2+0.02
  14. PITX1+0.02
  15. TBX18+0.02
  16. TMEM151A+0.02
  17. EPYC+0.02
  18. COL11A1+0.01
  19. GPR37+0.01
  20. B4GALNT4+0.01
  21. FAM163A+0.01
  22. HOXB9+0.00
  23. SULF1+0.00
  24. ZFHX4+0.00
  25. GNG4+0.00
Figure 3. Standardized elastic-net coefficients of the 45 genes selected to separate mesothelioma from normal lung, largest first.

An elastic-net logistic regression was trained on the 300 top-ranked candidates to tell tumor from normal tissue. Its Held-out AUCHow well an elastic-net model separates tumor from normal tissue, measured with nested cross-validation on samples the model did not train on. It describes tissue, not the accuracy of a blood test. is 0.996, from nested five-fold cross-validation.

Every normal sample here comes from GTEx, so the TCGA-versus-GTEx offset cannot be separated from the tumor/normal contrast and no study correction was possible: the classifier may partly learn study differences.

This number describes tumor and normal tissue, where separation is expected to be near perfect. It is not the accuracy of a blood test: that has to be measured in plasma from patients and controls.

Association with survival

Gene0.250.5124HR per SD (95% CI)q-value
  1. KIF4A2.12 (1.58–2.83)1.4 × 10−5
  2. EXO12.11 (1.61–2.77)5.0 × 10−6
  3. CENPA2.10 (1.59–2.78)1.1 × 10−5
  4. CENPF1.98 (1.46–2.68)3.1 × 10−4
  5. OXTR1.93 (1.52–2.45)5.0 × 10−6
  6. GINS11.89 (1.42–2.52)3.1 × 10−4
  7. PBK1.79 (1.35–2.39)0.0013
  8. UCHL11.70 (1.26–2.29)0.0045
  9. CD2761.63 (1.30–2.02)3.1 × 10−4
  10. APCDD1L1.63 (1.24–2.13)0.0039
  11. RAC31.62 (1.25–2.11)0.0034
  12. COL11A11.59 (1.25–2.04)0.0028
  13. TWIST11.56 (1.22–2.01)0.0045
  14. GPRIN11.55 (1.25–1.93)0.0014
  15. COL1A11.48 (1.19–1.85)0.0045
  16. CALB20.70 (0.57–0.86)0.0055
  17. CFB0.69 (0.56–0.85)0.0045
  18. EFNA50.67 (0.54–0.84)0.0039
  19. C4B0.62 (0.47–0.80)0.0034
  20. C4A0.61 (0.47–0.79)0.0028
Show the other 20 genes
  1. ZNF6951.63 (1.20–2.20)0.0094
  2. C1QL41.51 (1.18–1.93)0.0077
  3. FGD11.49 (1.15–1.93)0.012
  4. ZNF4691.48 (1.18–1.86)0.0058
  5. FOXL21.47 (1.14–1.89)0.013
  6. GNG41.47 (1.15–1.87)0.0094
  7. CHRNA51.46 (1.15–1.84)0.0094
  8. CRABP21.44 (1.15–1.82)0.0094
  9. DIAPH31.44 (1.14–1.82)0.012
  10. CAMK2N21.41 (1.13–1.77)0.012
  11. ASPM1.41 (1.12–1.78)0.017
  12. SOX111.39 (1.09–1.77)0.026
  13. SLC12A81.37 (1.09–1.72)0.025
  14. HSF2BP1.33 (1.09–1.63)0.020
  15. WT10.76 (0.62–0.92)0.023
  16. SLC13A30.75 (0.60–0.94)0.049
  17. PRR150.71 (0.57–0.88)0.0094
  18. MUC160.70 (0.56–0.88)0.010
  19. SLC7A40.70 (0.55–0.89)0.015
  20. TMEM151A0.69 (0.55–0.87)0.0094
longer OSshorter OS
Figure 4. Hazard ratio per standard deviation of tumor expression with 95% confidence interval, log scale, for the 40 genes with FDR < 0.05.

For the 150 top-ranked candidates, a Cox model relates tumor expression, as a continuous value, to overall survival in 85 patients (73 events). No high/low cutpoint is searched for, since optimized cutpoints inflate false positives.

A Hazard ratio per SDFrom a Cox model with the gene’s tumor expression as a continuous variable: the change in hazard for each one-standard-deviation increase. Above 1, higher expression goes with a shorter time to the event; below 1, with a longer one. above 1 means higher expression goes with a shorter overall survival. These are associations in tissue, not evidence that a blood level predicts outcome.

Caveats for MESO

  • GTEx has no pleura or peritoneum, so normal lung stands in for the tissue of origin.
  • Every normal sample comes from GTEx, a different study from the tumors, so study differences cannot be corrected in the tissue comparison.
  • With only 87 tumors, confidence intervals are wide; treat close ranks as ties.
  • The blood comparison sets TCGA tumors against GTEx blood. Study and biology cannot be separated there, which is why genes made by blood immune cells are removed as well.

Limitations that apply to every cancer type